The global potash industry is closely held, but a number of large miners, including the two biggest – BHP Billiton and Vale– have made it clear that they want to become serious producers of the crop nutrient.

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The race to build up Canada’s potash supplies to keep pace with burgeoning global demand is turning Saskatchewan’s tiny handful of junior potash explorers into ripe plums for the picking.

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Fertilizer stocks, including the fortunes of giant fertilizer producer Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc. (NYSE:POT), were turned into dust in the wind when the commodity bubble burst.

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According to Barclay’s, potash, the commodity, is expensive based on its historical relationship with corn and soybean prices, and also to its peers. Meanwhile, July potash inventories were 127% higher than the five year average.

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According to reports, the last two years of domestic potash fertilizer market has undergone a big ups and downs of volatility.

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Agricultural stock and fertilizer maker Potash Corp. (POT) reported a 46% hike in earnings today, from EPS of $1.01 in the first quarter of 2009 to $1.47 in the first quarter of 2010. The POT earnings spike was mainly due to sales of potash, which generated 72% of the company’s total first-quarter gross margin. Agri-business companies Monsanto Corp. (MON), Mosaic Corp. (MOS), and Sygenta AG (SYT) have already reported first quarter results that were mixed at best. Another large manufacturer, Agrium Inc. (AGU) does not report earnings until next week.

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In recent months, plenty of headlines have been garnered by several intrepid and well-financed potash exploration juniors that are vying to muscle-in on Saskatchewan’s lucrative potash mining industry. The fact that uber-financier Robert Friedland is now the chairman of one of these mining juniors adds further sizzle to the emerging Prairie Potash Rush.

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The race to build up Canada’s potash supplies to keep pace with burgeoning global demand is turning Saskatchewan’s tiny handful of junior potash explorers into ripe plums for the picking.

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Potash, which had spent the better part of 2009 issuing profit warnings and tamping down expectations as prices for its core product cratered, appeared to validate feelings among agricultural watchers that demand from farmers for potash fertilizer has started to recover in earnest.

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“Strong farmer returns, a depleted distributor pipeline and the agronomic need to replace soil nutrients have kick-started a potash rebound from 2009 lows,” Bill Doyle, Potash president and chief executive, said in a statement.

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